Category Archives: futures

Coronavirus and the world: today and four forecasts

It’s March 18th, COVID-19 keeps spreading, and the world’s reactions are deepening.  Global infected numbers passed 180,000 and deaths near 9,000, reportedly (and there are doubts about numbers).  There are more infections and deaths outside of China than in, according … Continue reading →

Posted in coronavirus, futures, scenarios | 6 Comments

Coronavirus and the world: how futurists have been working on this kind of thing for years

I’m sometimes asked what futures work is good for.  Some folks complain that it doesn’t always provide solid predictions of what’s next.  Others think it’s just fantasies and a waste of time in pratical reality. One standard response from the … Continue reading →

Posted in coronavirus, futures, gaming, professional development, scenarios | 2 Comments

4 futures for how civilization could respond politically to climate change

Thinking about how higher education and climate change may intersect is a deeper topic that it might appear.  Because climate change is so vast and because higher ed is so complex and sprawling, all kinds of domains and issues enter … Continue reading →

Posted in climatechange, future of education, futures, scenarios | 2 Comments

Cybersecurity futures: scenarios and good practice

What can we forecast about upcoming cybersecurity threats?  And how can we best conduct futures work?  How can we learn from scenarios? Berkeley’s Steven Weber recently published a useful and bracing essay that I can commend to you all.  It’s … Continue reading →

Posted in futures, scenarios | 1 Comment

The most dangerous report in higher education

Last week a small, Boston-based firm prepared to release a report about the financial status of nearly 1,000 American colleges and universities.  Inside Higher Ed prepped an article on Edmit’s report. The report never appeared. In this post I’ll try … Continue reading →

Posted in future of education, futures, higher education | 7 Comments

What is the Zeroth World, and how can we use it?

What is the Zeroth World? I bumped up against this odd term for the first time in August and it just stuck in my mind.  The first encounter with a new word or phrase in a language one knows well … Continue reading →

Posted in futures | 7 Comments

What Americans think of the present and future of science and technology

Where will science go in the future, and how will that impact our lives? I’ve been tracking this question for a while, so it’s good to have fresh research to hand.  A new Pew Research survey asked Americans what they … Continue reading →

Posted in education and technology, futures, technology | Leave a comment

A global futures event is happening online this November

I’m very excited to share news of an upcoming futures event taking place online later this autumn.  It’s one I’ve worked on, and want to invite you all to check it out. On November 9th the Association of Professional Futurists … Continue reading →

Posted in futures | Tagged , | Leave a comment

When new ideas boom, bust, then come roaring back: around the U-bend

Lately I’m thinking about the re-emergence of ideas over time.  I’d like to get a better handle on that process, hopefully with a model, and so try to better anticipate when such a thing may occur. Let me explain. Most … Continue reading →

Posted in futures | 8 Comments

Clouds and networks: reflections on James Bridle’s New Dark Age

I started reading James Bridle’s New Dark Age thinking it was another entry in the recent spate of “techlash” books. The subtitle, Technology and the End of the Future, is a hint. And the book does follow the tradition laid … Continue reading →

Posted in futures, readings | Leave a comment