Category Archives: scenarios

When education doomsayers aren’t grim enough

Recently Inside Higher Ed ran two columns arguing that higher education is in serious trouble.  Their titles proclaimed a very grim analysis: “What Happens If Higher Ed Collapses?” and “The Culling of Higher Ed Begins”.  Both contain useful bits of … Continue reading

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American health care reform under the Republicans: three scenarios

Once again I detour into politics.  It’s for a good reason, I assure you. Today the United States Senate Republicans have issued their own health care reform proposal, the ‘‘Better Care Reconciliation Act of 2017’’.  Finally shared in public after … Continue reading

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Universal basic income: Bruce Sterling imagines the rest of the 21st century

How might universal basic income play out, if we choose to adopt it as a way to restructure our economy and society?  Cyberpunk writer, journalist, and killer speech-giver Bruce Sterling dove into some possibilities at the close of this year’s … Continue reading

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Automation versus jobs: a new model

How will automation impact tomorrow’s jobs?  I and others have been exploring this increasingly urgent question, with an eye towards the intersection of education and society. The Foresight Alliance team just added to the discussion with a new publication, combining … Continue reading

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Several visions of the future of higher education

What might higher education become in the next decade? I shared several scenarios with NACUBO, the excellent American higher ed business officers’ group.  They are based on the following possibilities: The development of decent software-based tutors Continued growth of the … Continue reading

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Education dystopia #4: the bubble bursts

What are some bad futures for teaching, learning, and campuses? With this post I’m continuing my series of educational dystopias. 4. The Bubble Bursts This dystopia is more focused on higher education than the previous ones.  It’s about a perfect storm … Continue reading

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Education dystopia #3: the new gilded age

What are some bad futures for teaching, learning, and campuses? With this post I’m continuing my series of educational dystopias. 3. Gilded Age 2.0 This dystopia is a world of extreme inequality.  After the mid-twentieth century’s reduced imbalance of wealth, the … Continue reading

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