This infographic about the future of higher education has some useful stuff.
I’m glad it contrasts a moderate change scenario with a more aggressive transformation model.(The former actually recalls my scenario, “The Serpent Devours a Large Mammal”) It’s important to create a third path between things-as-they-are and a future of radical change. The list of “ways colleges may change” is basic, but handy:
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The chart emphasizes technology, but not to the point of inevitability.
(thanks to Rebecca Davis on Twitter)
Interesting in the graphic is the voting on which scenario “stakeholders” agreed with.
Myself, I find the modest change scenario too conservative, and the substantial change scenario too radical. I think higher ed, by 2020, will be somewhere in-between. I my wanderings I still detect perceptions of benefit in face-to-face education, both from faculty and students. So I think the scenarios of “mass adoption” maybe be overeager.
Also an interesting twist on the adoption question is: by whom? The traditional segment of students who are of traditional undergraduate age? Or by a group of new, more adult learners who might not have attended college in the first place. If you cast those populations against these scenarios, I think you arrive at a rather nuanced view of the future.
I agree on the f2f persistence, Malcolm, and on the age issue. Especially the latter.