Category Archives: scenarios

Towards fall 2020 in higher education: what an “in person semester” really means

American higher ed is moving ahead with fall 2020 planning.  Let’s check in with current developments and see what they suggest for the next academic year. As a frame I will reiterate my three scenarios for fall term.  Last month … Continue reading →

Posted in coronavirus, scenarios | 17 Comments

Two competing visions of fall higher education, plus a ghostly third

What will fall 2020 look like in higher education? I’ve been exploring this topic for months.  In April I published three scenarios for colleges and universities may approach the fall 2020 semester in the wake of COVID-19, based on different ways the … Continue reading →

Posted in coronavirus, scenarios | 24 Comments

Problems planning for a Post-Pandemic Campus this fall

How will campuses try to return to face-to-face education?  What does it mean now to plan for a Post-Pandemic Campus this fall? In April I published three scenarios for colleges and universities may approach the fall 2020 semester in the … Continue reading →

Posted in coronavirus, higher education, scenarios | 5 Comments

Early signs of fall 2020: three paths, three scenarios for higher education

Several days ago I posted a set of scenarios for how higher education might function during this upcoming fall semester, depending on how the coronavirus pandemic develops. One of the scenarios, COVID Fall, imagines today’s “remote instruction” continuing for the … Continue reading →

Posted in coronavirus, scenarios | 9 Comments

Higher education in fall 2020: three pandemic scenarios

How will the pandemic change higher education? I’ve been exploring and researching this for months now on this blog, with the Future Trends Forum, on Twitter, with my Patreon supporters, through a series of interviews and webinars, and more.  For today’s … Continue reading →

Posted in coronavirus, future of education, scenarios | 35 Comments

Two pandemic scenarios for March 2021

I presented these short scenarios to an online event in March, and would like to share them here. They are based on two different models for how the COVID-19 pandemic could play out over the next year, drawing on my … Continue reading →

Posted in coronavirus, scenarios | 14 Comments

COVID-19 in 2020: several scenarios

For nearly two months I’ve been tracking the coronavirus outbreak.  I’ve been sharing forecasts, examining analyses, and collecting forecasts here, on Twitter, on LinkedIn, and Facebook.  Now I’d like to share some scenarios for how the pandemic might turn out. … Continue reading →

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Coronavirus and the world: today and four forecasts

It’s March 18th, COVID-19 keeps spreading, and the world’s reactions are deepening.  Global infected numbers passed 180,000 and deaths near 9,000, reportedly (and there are doubts about numbers).  There are more infections and deaths outside of China than in, according … Continue reading →

Posted in coronavirus, futures, scenarios | 6 Comments

Coronavirus and the world: how futurists have been working on this kind of thing for years

I’m sometimes asked what futures work is good for.  Some folks complain that it doesn’t always provide solid predictions of what’s next.  Others think it’s just fantasies and a waste of time in pratical reality. One standard response from the … Continue reading →

Posted in coronavirus, futures, gaming, professional development, scenarios | 2 Comments

4 futures for how civilization could respond politically to climate change

Thinking about how higher education and climate change may intersect is a deeper topic that it might appear.  Because climate change is so vast and because higher ed is so complex and sprawling, all kinds of domains and issues enter … Continue reading →

Posted in climatechange, future of education, futures, scenarios | 2 Comments