Category Archives: scenarios

What are the criteria for flipping a fall semester into a Toggle Term?

How will colleges and universities respond to on-campus infections this fall? Previously I have posited three scenarios that describe how academic institutions might proceed during the COVID-19 pandemic.  One of them, Toggle Term, outlines a semester wherein campuses switch from … Continue reading

Posted in coronavirus, scenarios | 9 Comments

One particular problem with the ICE international student ruling

On July 6th the American Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency (ICE) ruled that international students would not be allowed in the United States if their classes were entirely online. There are all kinds of problems with this, as I and … Continue reading

Posted in coronavirus, higher education, scenarios | 8 Comments

Liberal arts colleges look to fall 2020

How will American higher education take shape this fall? (UPDATED August 27) I’ve been exploring that question since COVID-19 roared out of Hubei province.  I’ve addressed it at a systematic level and by examining several institutions’ strategies.  Today I’d like … Continue reading

Posted in coronavirus, higher education, liberal education, scenarios | 2 Comments

ICE rules against international students taking online semesters, gestures towards one academic future

The United States Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency issued a new policy about international students which could have significant impact on the new academic year.  International student access to American higher education and some campus’ financial sustainability each took … Continue reading

Posted in coronavirus, future of education, scenarios | 9 Comments

Towards fall 2020 in higher education: what an “in person semester” really means

American higher ed is moving ahead with fall 2020 planning.  Let’s check in with current developments and see what they suggest for the next academic year. As a frame I will reiterate my three scenarios for fall term.  Last month … Continue reading

Posted in coronavirus, scenarios | 17 Comments

Two competing visions of fall higher education, plus a ghostly third

What will fall 2020 look like in higher education? I’ve been exploring this topic for months.  In April I published three scenarios for colleges and universities may approach the fall 2020 semester in the wake of COVID-19, based on different ways the … Continue reading

Posted in coronavirus, scenarios | 24 Comments

Problems planning for a Post-Pandemic Campus this fall

How will campuses try to return to face-to-face education?  What does it mean now to plan for a Post-Pandemic Campus this fall? In April I published three scenarios for colleges and universities may approach the fall 2020 semester in the … Continue reading

Posted in coronavirus, higher education, scenarios | 5 Comments

Early signs of fall 2020: three paths, three scenarios for higher education

Several days ago I posted a set of scenarios for how higher education might function during this upcoming fall semester, depending on how the coronavirus pandemic develops. One of the scenarios, COVID Fall, imagines today’s “remote instruction” continuing for the … Continue reading

Posted in coronavirus, scenarios | 9 Comments

Higher education in fall 2020: three pandemic scenarios

How will the pandemic change higher education? I’ve been exploring and researching this for months now on this blog, with the Future Trends Forum, on Twitter, with my Patreon supporters, through a series of interviews and webinars, and more.  For today’s … Continue reading

Posted in coronavirus, future of education, scenarios | 35 Comments

Two pandemic scenarios for March 2021

I presented these short scenarios to an online event in March, and would like to share them here. They are based on two different models for how the COVID-19 pandemic could play out over the next year, drawing on my … Continue reading

Posted in coronavirus, scenarios | 14 Comments