A map of the next decade: the IFTF released a fun set of scenarios for the next ten years.
Why fun? Because they proclaim these are all unlikely. “too fast to be believable” is one set. And “Type 2 scenarios depend on the conjunction of too many improbabilities”.
So why look through these? Because they are fascinating, and their detail not impossible.
the feral economy | Steep unemployment worldwide combines with failure of reforms to make graft, corruption, and crime the norm for “doing business.”
persuasive delusion | Cultural delusion becomes a valid mental health diagnosis as sophisticated remote interfaces to the human brain are weaponized to control behavior.
welcome to mendokistan | California’s struggling economy, sparsely populated regions, and embedded marijuana cultivation set the stage for a new opium economy in the state.
the fabrication commons—enclosed! | Open fabbers pioneer a new 3D open manufacturing commons. Just as quickly, a few smart companies launch the breakthrough platforms that enclose them.
the world electric | Wireless energy is useful at a large scale as the Casimir effect is harnessed and open-source “Tesla boxes” proliferate.
The cards look like fun, too.